Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - Final

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday


	Jan Kumstat		Marvin Moeller

	1	2
	1.55	2.30
	1.55	2.29
	1.64	2.36
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.6	2.3
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.29
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↑ (1.28)	2.29 ↓ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
59.3%

Marvin Moeller
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.2%

27.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jan Kumstat's form might have worsened.

Marvin Moeller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marvin Moeller's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	0%	87.5%

Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Moeller will win (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Moeller: 64.6% – 100%.

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 347. Moeller is ranked ATP: 327.

Currently, both players are in excellent shape.

Moeller may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Kumstat is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Kumstat won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
14.08.26	Carlos Taberner - Jan Kumstat	Taberner C. Retired ✺
13.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Max Houkes	2:0 ✺
11.08.26	Jamie Mackenzie - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Tom Zeuch	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 W?WWW
- Marvin Moeller
ATP Challenger
15.08.26	Matej Dodig - Marvin Moeller	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Marvin Moeller - Niels McDonald	2:0 ✺
12.08.26	Raul Brancaccio - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
10.08.26	Cezar Cretu - Marvin Moeller	1:2 ✺
10.07.26	Hugo Gaston - Marvin Moeller	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
12.06.26	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:0
27.09.25	Jan Kumstat - Marvin Moeller	2:0

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