Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Liberec, clay - Final

Date: 2 August 2026, Sunday


	Jan Kumstat		Gonzalo Bueno

	1	2
			Watch
	1.72	2.00
	1.72	2.07	Watch
	1.76	2.15
	1.73	2.01	Watch
	1.74	2.12	Watch
	1.70	2.01	Watch
	1.73	2.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (2.01)	2.05 ↑ (1.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 22.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
54.3%

Gonzalo Bueno
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Kumstat's performance.

Gonzalo Bueno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gonzalo Bueno might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-13.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Kumstat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Bueno than the current prediction. (+13.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Bueno could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jan Kumstat - Gonzalo Bueno Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Bueno will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 508. Bueno is ranked ATP: 160.

Kumstat is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Bueno has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Kumstat may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Gonzalo Bueno - the odds 1.7 are the expected chance of winning is 54.18%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Jan Kumstat - Sumit Nagal	2:0 ✺
31.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Frederico Ferreira Silva	2:0 ✺
29.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Thiago Seyboth Wild	2:0 ✺
27.07.26	Zdenek Kolar - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
24.07.26	Jan Kumstat - Mathys Erhard	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 WWWWL
- Gonzalo Bueno
ATP Challenger
01.08.26	Norbert Gombos - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
31.07.26	Juan Bautista Torres - Gonzalo Bueno	Torres J. B. Retired ✺
30.07.26	Hynek Barton - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
28.07.26	Pablo Martinez Gomez - Gonzalo Bueno	0:2 ✺
ATP Estoril
23.07.26	Jaime Faria - Gonzalo Bueno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 W?WWL

Jan Kumstat - Gonzalo Bueno: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide