Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 25 November 2025, Tuesday


	Jan Kumstat		Maks Kasnikowski

	1	2
	2.63	1.44	Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.57	1.53
	1.97	1.77	Watch
	2.56	1.45	Watch
	2.54	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.95)	1.52 ↑ (1.35)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
38.1%

Maks Kasnikowski
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.4%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jan Kumstat's performance.

Maks Kasnikowski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Maks Kasnikowski might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-9.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jan Kumstat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maks Kasnikowski could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kumstat will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kasnikowski will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kasnikowski (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 701. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 409.

Kumstat has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Kasnikowski is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Kumstat may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Kasnikowski is considered a favorite.

We predict that Kasnikowski will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
24.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Andrin Casanova	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
28.10.25	Aziz Ouakaa - Jan Kumstat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLLLW
- Maks Kasnikowski
ATP Challenger
15.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Daniil Glinka	0:2 ✺
14.11.25	Liam Draxl - Maks Kasnikowski	0:2 ✺
13.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Michael Mmoh	Mmoh M. retired ✺
12.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Max Wiskandt	2:1 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.11.25	Maks Kasnikowski - Taha Baadi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LW?WW

Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide