Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Athens 2, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 November 2025, Thursday


	Jan Kumstat		Michael Geerts

	1	2
	2.38	1.53	Watch
	2.41	1.59
	2.13	1.63	Watch
	2.19	1.64	Watch
	2.33	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.25)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jan Kumstat
41%

Michael Geerts
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jan Kumstat has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Michael Geerts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Kumstat than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Jan Kumstat - Michael Geerts Predictions

Users Predictions: Michael Geerts will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Kumstat is ranked ATP: 711. Geerts is ranked ATP: 372.

Recent performances by Kumstat have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Geerts is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Geerts may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Geerts will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that Geerts will win today's game, with odds of 1.56.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jan Kumstat
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Maks Kasnikowski	2:1 ✺
24.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Andrin Casanova	2:0 ✺
11.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Yannick Hanfmann	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
05.11.25	Jan Kumstat - Tiago Pereira	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
30.10.25	Arthur Gea - Jan Kumstat	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL
- Michael Geerts
ATP Challenger
25.11.25	Michael Geerts - Giles Hussey	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
13.11.25	Michael Geerts - Max Schoenhaus	Schoenhaus M. walkover ✺
12.11.25	Michael Geerts - Jorge Plans	2:0 ✺
07.11.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Michael Geerts	2:1 ✺
06.11.25	Daniil Kakhniuk - Michael Geerts	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 W?WLW

Jan Kumstat - Michael Geerts: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide