Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - Semi-finals

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Centre Court (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	Eurosport 2, HBO Max, Oneplay
Denmark	HBO Max
France	beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports 3, beIN Sports MAX 5, beIN Sports MAX 6, beIN Sports MAX 7, beIN Sports MAX 8, HBO Max
Greece	Nova Sports Prime
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max, Ziggo Sport 4
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max, Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 1, Polsat Sport Extra 2, Polsat Sport Extra 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Ukraine	Suspilne Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer, BBC RED Button, BBC Sport


	Jannik Sinner		Novak Djokovic

	1	2
	1.20	4.50	Watch
	1.20	4.60
	1.21	4.60
	1.23	4.83
	1.26	4.03	Watch
	1.19	5.05
	1.24	4.62	Watch
	1.21	4.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.24)	4.6 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 38.50

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
79.1%

Novak Djokovic
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

76.1%

23.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Novak Djokovic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	0%	77.8%

Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 11 - 20.8%). Djokovic will win (votes: 42 - 79.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Djokovic: 68.3% – 90.1%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 38.5 Games - over (1.89) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

AH +4.5 Games - Djokovic (2.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 Sets - Djokovic (6.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 Sets - over (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Novak Djokovic will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Sinner (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Djokovic (votes: 10 - 83.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Djokovic is ranked ATP: 8.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 4.

Both players have triumphed in their latest matches.

In this match, Sinner is seen as the favorite.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Sinner won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:18. (average 1.6:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Jan-Lennard Struff	3:0 ✺
05.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki	3:0 ✺
03.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Jenson Brooksby	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Nuno Borges	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jannik Sinner - Miomir Kecmanovic	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWWWW
- Novak Djokovic
ATP Wimbledon
07.07.26	Felix Aliassime-Auger - Novak Djokovic	2:3 ✺
05.07.26	Roman Safiullin - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
03.07.26	Arthur Rinderknech - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Stefanos Tsitsipas - Novak Djokovic	0:3 ✺
29.06.26	Yibing Wu - Novak Djokovic	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Australian Open
30.01.26	Novak Djokovic - Jannik Sinner	3:2
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
16.10.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	2:0
ATP Wimbledon
11.07.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0
ATP Roland Garros
06.06.25	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	3:0
Exhibition Six Kings Slam Men
17.10.24	Novak Djokovic - Jannik Sinner	1:2
ATP Shanghai
13.10.24	Jannik Sinner - Novak Djokovic	2:0
ATP Australian Open
25.01.24	Novak Djokovic - Jannik Sinner	1:3

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