Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: Wimbledon, grass - 1/8-finals

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: All England Club (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Finland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
France	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Germany	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Hungary	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Italy	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Poland	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Romania	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Sweden	Eurosport 2, HBO Max
Turkey	Eurosport 1, Eurosport 2
United-kingdom	TNT Eurosport 1, TNT Eurosport 2


	Jannik Sinner		Shintaro Mochizuki

	1	2
	1.02	19	Watch
	1.02	13.00
	1.01	16
	1.02	25.68
	1	16.88	Watch
	1.02	25.19
	1.01	31	Watch
	1.01	16
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.01 (1.01)	20.34 ↑ (15.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 28.00

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jannik Sinner
95.3%

Shintaro Mochizuki
4.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

93.8%

6.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jannik Sinner has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Shintaro Mochizuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
37.5%	0%	62.5%

Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sinner will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Mochizuki will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mochizuki: 29% – 96%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +10.5 Games - Mochizuki (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mochizuki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 3:0

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Preview

Sinner is ranked ATP: 1. Mochizuki is ranked ATP: 151.

Sinner is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Mochizuki is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Sinner may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Sinner is the obvious favorite.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jannik Sinner
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Jenson Brooksby	3:0 ✺
01.07.26	Jannik Sinner - Nuno Borges	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Jannik Sinner - Miomir Kecmanovic	3:2 ✺
Exhibition Hurlingham Men
24.06.26	Jannik Sinner - Cameron Norrie	2:0
ATP Roland Garros
28.05.26	Jannik Sinner - Juan Manuel Cerundolo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWWWL
- Shintaro Mochizuki
ATP Wimbledon
03.07.26	Rafael Jodar - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:3 ✺
01.07.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Ethan Quinn	3:0 ✺
29.06.26	Shintaro Mochizuki - Max Basing	3:0 ✺
25.06.26	Clement Tabur - Shintaro Mochizuki	2:3 ✺
24.06.26	Gauthier Onclin - Shintaro Mochizuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WWWWW

Jannik Sinner - Shintaro Mochizuki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide