Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W100 Indian Harbour Beach, FL, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Elvina Kalieva

	1	2
			Watch
	2.55	1.45	Watch
	2.82	1.44
	2.6	1.44	Watch
	2.63	1.4
	2.66	1.42	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↑ (2.24)	1.43 ↓ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
35%

Elvina Kalieva
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

62.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmin Ortenzi's form might have worsened.

Elvina Kalieva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Elvina Kalieva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Elvina Kalieva than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Jasmin Ortenzi - Elvina Kalieva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 169. Kalieva is ranked WTA: 140.

Ortenzi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Kalieva has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Ortenzi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kalieva is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.

Last Results with these Odds

Elvina Kalieva - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.79%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Ayana Akli	2:1 ✺
06.05.26	Jasmin Ortenzi - Shilin Xu	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Madison Brengle - Jasmin Ortenzi	2:0 ✺
30.04.26	Madison Sieg - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
29.04.26	Haley Giavara - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Elvina Kalieva
ITF Tournaments
07.05.26	Anna Sinclair Rogers - Elvina Kalieva	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Amelia Honer - Elvina Kalieva	1:2 ✺
30.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Akasha Urhobo	0:2 ✺
29.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Eryn Cayetano	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
22.04.26	Elvina Kalieva - Katerina Siniakova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLWL

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