Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Cali, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 30 October 2025, Thursday


	Jasmin Ortenzi		Julia Grabher

	1	2
	3.5	1.29	Watch
	3.6	1.25	Watch
	3.62	1.24	Watch
	3.65	1.24	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.59 ↑ (2.98)	1.26 ↓ (1.36)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jasmin Ortenzi
25.9%

Julia Grabher
74.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

68.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

72%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jasmin Ortenzi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jasmin Ortenzi's form might have worsened.

Julia Grabher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Julia Grabher's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jasmin Ortenzi than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Julia Grabher than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Jasmin Ortenzi - Julia Grabher Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ortenzi will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Grabher will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ortenzi is ranked WTA: 247. Grabher is ranked WTA: 93.

Ortenzi has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Grabher is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Grabher is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ortenzi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jasmin Ortenzi
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
27.10.25	Maria Camila Torres Murcia - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
25.10.25	Despina Papamichail - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Antonia Vergara Rivera - Jasmin Ortenzi	0:2 ✺
23.10.25	Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez - Jasmin Ortenzi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WWWWW
- Julia Grabher
ATP Challenger
29.10.25	Gabriela Lee - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
28.10.25	Hanna Chang - Julia Grabher	0:2 ✺
26.10.25	Carole Monnet - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Oleksandra Oliynykova - Julia Grabher	1:2 ✺
24.10.25	Julia Grabher - Simona Waltert	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWWW

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