Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: French Open - Qualification, clay - Quarter-finals

Date: 19 May 2025, Monday

Location: Stade Roland-Garros (Paris)


	Jason Kubler		Alejandro Moro Canas

	1	2
	1.73	2
	1.62	2.2
	1.7	2.04	Watch
	1.81	2.02
	1.81	1.98	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.71	2.09	Watch
	1.7	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↑ (1.62)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
54.9%

Alejandro Moro Canas
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Alejandro Moro Canas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Jason Kubler - Alejandro Moro Canas Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Moro Canas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kubler: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kubler (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 232. Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 197.

Kubler is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Moro Canas is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kubler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kubler is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Kubler will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ITF Tournaments
10.05.25	Yan Bai - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Kuan-Yi Lee - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
09.05.25	Mikalai Haliak - Jason Kubler	1:2 ✺
08.05.25	Chase Ferguson - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
05.05.25	Xirui Han - Jason Kubler	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW
- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
05.05.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Nicolai Budkov Kjaer	0:2 ✺
29.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Thiago Seyboth Wild	0:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLLWL

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