Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 3, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 17 April 2025, Thursday


	Alejandro Moro Canas		Roman Safiullin

	1	2
	3.4	1.3	Watch
	3.2	1.3	Watch
	3.22	1.35
	3.26	1.32
			Watch
	3.15	1.33	Watch
	3.2	1.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.24 ↑ (2.35)	1.32 ↓ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Alejandro Moro Canas
28.9%

Roman Safiullin
71.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.6%

60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Alejandro Moro Canas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alejandro Moro Canas's form might have worsened.

Roman Safiullin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Roman Safiullin's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alejandro Moro Canas than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alejandro Moro Canas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roman Safiullin than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Roman Safiullin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Alejandro Moro Canas - Roman Safiullin Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Roman Safiullin will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Moro Canas is ranked ATP: 156. Safiullin is ranked ATP: 73.

Recent matches Moro Canas is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Safiullin is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Safiullin could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Safiullin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Safiullin to win the game is with odds 1.32.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Moro Canas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:4 (average 0.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Alejandro Moro Canas
ATP Challenger
17.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Henrique Rocha	2:0 ✺
15.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Remy Bertola	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Domingues	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Pavel Kotov - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:1 ✺
08.04.25	Edas Butvilas - Alejandro Moro Canas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WLWLW
- Roman Safiullin
ATP Challenger
15.04.25	Alexander Blockx - Roman Safiullin	0:2 ✺
ATP Miami
24.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jakub Mensik	0:2 ✺
22.03.25	Alexei Popyrin - Roman Safiullin	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Roman Safiullin - Jenson Brooksby	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
13.03.25	Colton Smith - Roman Safiullin	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Mallorca
24.06.23	Roman Safiullin - Alejandro Moro Canas	2:0

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