Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Sydney, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 19 November 2025, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Sydney 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jason Kubler		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.3	3.4	Watch
			Watch
	1.3	3.15
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.3	3.25	Watch
	1.47	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.55)	3.13 ↑ (2.27)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
70.2%

Marek Gengel
29.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

59.4%

40.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.8%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jason Kubler's performance.

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marek Gengel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-11.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jason Kubler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 2 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Kubler (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jason Kubler will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Kubler (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Kubler is ranked ATP: 190. Gengel is ranked ATP: 323.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kubler may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Kubler could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Jason Kubler - Pavle Marinkov	2:1
17.11.25	Jason Kubler - Li Tu	Canceled ✺
11.11.25	Leo Vithoontien - Jason Kubler	2:1 ✺
20.10.25	Lloyd Harris - Jason Kubler	Kubler J. retired ✺
13.10.25	Jason Kubler - Fajing Sun	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?L?L
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
18.11.25	Hayden Jones - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Marek Gengel - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Marek Gengel - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
14.10.25	Alex Molcan - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLWLL

Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Who will win by Users?

Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel Predictions

Preview

Form

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