Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Playford 2, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Bernard Tomic		Marek Gengel

	1	2
	1.33	3.25	Watch
	1.32	3	Watch
	1.06	7.71	Watch
	1.34	3.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.41)	4.31 ↑ (2.7)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bernard Tomic
77.3%

Marek Gengel
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.7%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bernard Tomic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bernard Tomic's performance.

Marek Gengel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marek Gengel might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bernard Tomic that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marek Gengel than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marek Gengel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tomic will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Gengel will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Tomic is ranked ATP: 182. Gengel is ranked ATP: 323.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gengel may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Tomic is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tomic won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Marek Gengel - the odds 2.7 are the expected chance of winning is 34.31%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
17.11.25	Hayato Matsuoka - Bernard Tomic	Tomic B. retired ✺
13.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Dane Sweeny	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Li Tu	2:0 ✺
19.10.25	Fajing Sun - Bernard Tomic	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 ?LWW?
- Marek Gengel
ATP Challenger
19.11.25	Jason Kubler - Marek Gengel	2:0 ✺
18.11.25	Hayden Jones - Marek Gengel	1:2 ✺
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1 ✺
10.11.25	Marek Gengel - Karan Singh	2:0 ✺
04.11.25	Marek Gengel - Yuta Shimizu	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.11.25	Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel	2:1

Bernard Tomic - Marek Gengel: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide