Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: ILKLEY (UNITED KINGDOM), GRASS - FINAL

Date: 24 June 2023, Saturday


	Jason Kubler		Sebastian Ofner

	1	2
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	1.95	1.75
	2.1	1.7
	2.07	1.83
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.02	1.75	Watch
	2.12	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.51)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jason Kubler
45.3%

Sebastian Ofner
54.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

62.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9%

62.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jason Kubler has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jason Kubler's performance.

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sebastian Ofner might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jason Kubler than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jason Kubler that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sebastian Ofner than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sebastian Ofner could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	0%	32%

Jason Kubler - Sebastian Ofner Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Kubler will win (votes: 17 - 68%). Ofner will win (votes: 8 - 32%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Kubler: 49.7% – 86.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Now both players are in good shape.

Ofner could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Our prediction for today's Ofner to win the game is with odds 1.67.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jason Kubler
ATP Challenger
23.06.23	Arthur Cazaux - Jason Kubler	1:2 ✺
22.06.23	Jason Kubler - Juncheng Shang	2:0 ✺
21.06.23	Jason Kubler - Mattia Bellucci	2:1 ✺
20.06.23	Jason Kubler - Alexander Ritschard	2:1 ✺
ATP Hertogenbosch
12.06.23	Ugo Humbert - Jason Kubler	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWL
- Sebastian Ofner
ATP Challenger
23.06.23	Sebastian Ofner - Zsombor Piros	2:0 ✺
22.06.23	Denis Kudla - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
20.06.23	Otto Virtanen - Sebastian Ofner	1:2 ✺
19.06.23	Laurent Lokoli - Sebastian Ofner	0:2 ✺
ATP Roland Garros
04.06.23	Sebastian Ofner - Stefanos Tsitsipas	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWWL

Jason Kubler - Sebastian Ofner: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide