The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Javier Barranco Cosano 45.3%
Alexandre Muller 54.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
52%
48%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
46.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Javier Barranco Cosano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Javier Barranco Cosano's form might have worsened.
Alexandre Muller has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alexandre Muller's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Javier Barranco Cosano than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Javier Barranco Cosano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alexandre Muller than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alexandre Muller, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
61.5%
0%
38.5%
Javier Barranco Cosano - Alexandre Muller Predictions
Users Predictions:
26 users predict this event. Barranco Cosano will win (votes: 16 - 61.5%). Muller will win (votes: 10 - 38.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Barranco Cosano: 42.8% – 80.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Preview
Barranco Cosano is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Muller is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.