Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santo Domingo (Dominican Republic), clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 14 August 2024, Wednesday

Referee: Estevez P. (Arg)


	Jay Clarke		Bernard Tomic

	1	2
	1.62	2.2	Watch
	1.5	2.4
	1.56	2.28
	1.53	2.56
	1.54	2.5	Watch
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.33	Watch
	1.56	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.62)	2.35 ↑ (2.17)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
60.2%

Bernard Tomic
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.3%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Bernard Tomic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bernard Tomic than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Jay Clarke - Bernard Tomic Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 298. Tomic is ranked ATP: 250.

Recent matches Clarke is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tomic is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Clarke won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Jay Clarke - Kiranpal Pannu	2:0 ✺
07.08.24	Dmitry Popko - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
05.08.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jay Clarke	Clarke J. retired ✺
22.07.24	Oliver Crawford - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLW??
- Bernard Tomic
ATP Challenger
13.08.24	Bernard Tomic - Nick Hardt	2:1 ✺
09.08.24	Mateus Alves - Bernard Tomic	2:1 ✺
08.08.24	Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
06.08.24	Pedro Boscardin Dias - Bernard Tomic	1:2 ✺
31.07.24	Bernard Tomic - Micah Braswell	Braswell M. walkover ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WLWW?

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
04.04.22	Jay Clarke - Bernard Tomic	2:1
ATP Roland Garros
23.05.18	Jay Clarke - Bernard Tomic	0:2

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