Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Bogota (Colombia), clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 5 August 2024, Monday

Referee: Szoreny R. (Hun)


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Jay Clarke

	1	2
	1.8	1.91	Watch
	1.75	1.95
	1.82	1.89
	1.83	2
	1.81	1.94	Watch
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.82	1.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (2.36)	1.92 ↑ (1.54)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
51.4%

Jay Clarke
48.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

59.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva's performance.

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jay Clarke might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jay Clarke could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	0%	71.4%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jay Clarke Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Reis Da Silva will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Clarke will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Reis Da Silva is ranked ATP: 325. Clarke is ranked ATP: 312.

Recent matches Reis Da Silva is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clarke is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
30.07.24	Samuel Vincent Ruggeri - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
29.07.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Gonzalo Villanueva	2:0 ✺
28.07.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Andrea Guerrieri	2:0 ✺
24.07.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
23.07.24	Lorenzo Sciahbasi - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWLW
- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
23.07.24	Daniel Rincon - Jay Clarke	Clarke J. retired ✺
22.07.24	Oliver Crawford - Jay Clarke	Canceled ✺
15.07.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
14.07.24	Niels Visker - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
ATP Wimbledon
26.06.24	Quentin Halys - Jay Clarke	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 ??LWL

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