Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 BADALONA (SPAIN), CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday


	Jay Clarke		Lorenzo Giustino

	1	2
	1.36	2.8
	1.39	2.75
	1.38	2.92
	1.39	2.93
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.75	Watch
	1.39	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.58)	2.8 ↑ (2.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
66.8%

Lorenzo Giustino
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.2%

39.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jay Clarke's performance.

Lorenzo Giustino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lorenzo Giustino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jay Clarke that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorenzo Giustino than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorenzo Giustino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Clarke is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Giustino is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Clarke could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Clarke will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Clarke won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Max Alcala Gurri - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
21.03.24	Kane Bonsach Ganley - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
17.03.24	Jay Clarke - Matej Dodig	0:2 ✺
16.03.24	Jay Clarke - Mili Poljicak	2:0 ✺
15.03.24	Jay Clarke - Viacheslav Bielinskyi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWLWW
- Lorenzo Giustino
ITF Tournaments
22.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Peter Benjamin Privara	2:0 ✺
21.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Carlos Gimeno Valero	Giustino L. walkover ✺
20.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - David Puig Molin	2:0 ✺
13.03.24	Lorenzo Giustino - Andres Fernandez Canovas	0:2 ✺
07.03.24	Keegan Smith - Lorenzo Giustino	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 W?WLL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
11.01.23	Lorenzo Giustino - Jay Clarke	2:0
31.01.19	Lorenzo Giustino - Jay Clarke	Clarke J. retired

Jay Clarke - Lorenzo Giustino: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide