Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Targu Mures 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Jay Clarke		Oleksandr Ovcharenko

	1	2
	1.44	2.63	Watch
	1.48	2.48	Watch
	1.48	2.49	Watch
			Watch
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.44	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.36)	2.52 ↓ (3)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jay Clarke
63.1%

Oleksandr Ovcharenko
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jay Clarke has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jay Clarke's form might have worsened.

Oleksandr Ovcharenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Oleksandr Ovcharenko's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jay Clarke than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jay Clarke, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oleksandr Ovcharenko than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Oleksandr Ovcharenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -3.5 Games - Clarke (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Clarke (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Clarke is ranked ATP: 194. Ovcharenko is ranked ATP: 400.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Ovcharenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Clarke is the team to beat.

The players have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jay Clarke
ATP Challenger
13.09.25	Mili Poljicak - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
12.09.25	Andrea Picchione - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
11.09.25	Radu Mihai Papoe - Jay Clarke	1:2 ✺
09.09.25	Ryan Nijboer - Jay Clarke	0:2 ✺
ATP US Open
21.08.25	Arthur Cazaux - Jay Clarke	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LWWWL
- Oleksandr Ovcharenko
ITF Tournaments
30.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Radu David Turcanu	0:2 ✺
29.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Radu Mihai Papoe	2:0 ✺
28.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Robert Guna	2:1 ✺
27.08.25	Oleksandr Ovcharenko - Charlie Robertson	2:1 ✺
23.08.25	Lorenzo Carboni - Oleksandr Ovcharenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 LWWWL

Jay Clarke - Oleksandr Ovcharenko: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide