Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 25 April 2024, Thursday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

	1	2
	1.53	2.5	Watch
	1.5	2.55
	1.55	2.45	Watch
	1.52	2.67
	1.53	2.67
	1.5	2.6
	1.55	2.47	Watch
	1.57	2.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.35)	2.55 ↓ (2.85)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
62.5%

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.2%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelena Ostapenko's form might have worsened.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelena Ostapenko, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Bouzas Maneiro will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Recent matches Ostapenko is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bouzas Maneiro is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ostapenko could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Ostapenko will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.24	Linda Noskova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup Group I
10.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Zeynep Sonmez	2:1 ✺
09.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Suzan Lamens	0:2 ✺
08.04.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Francisca Jorge	2:1 ✺
WTA Miami
23.03.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLWL
- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Madrid
24.04.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
23.04.24	Sachia Vickery - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Claire Liu - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWLW

Jelena Ostapenko - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide