Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Date: 24 April 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Madrid (Spain) 🌤️ ... 🔴 Clay

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	19:00	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	11:00	SportKlub
Brazil	06:00	ESPN 2
Croatia	11:00	SportKlub
Czech Republic	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Denmark	11:00	TV2 Sport X
France	11:00	beIN Sports
Germany	11:00	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Poland	11:00	CANAL+ Sport 2
Romania	12:00	Digi Sport 2
Serbia	11:00	SportKlub
Slovenia	11:00	SportKlub
Ukraine	12:00	Setanta Sports


	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.7	1.45
	2.8	1.45
	2.85	1.47
	2.85	1.47
	2.9	1.4
	2.82	1.44	Watch
	2.95	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.86 ↑ (2.26)	1.44 ↓ (1.65)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
33.4%

Paula Badosa
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.2%

57.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

55.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessica Bouzas Maneiro's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro than the current prediction. (+11%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Bouzas Maneiro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: Paula Badosa will win (12 of 15 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.76% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Bouzas Maneiro is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Badosa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Bouzas Maneiro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Badosa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
WTA Madrid
23.04.24	Sachia Vickery - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
22.04.24	Claire Liu - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.04.24	Moyuka Uchijima - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	2:0 ✺
13.04.24	Irene Burillo Escorihuela - Jessica Bouzas Maneiro	0:2 ✺
12.04.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Martina Trevisan	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWLWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Stuttgart
17.04.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	Badosa P. retired ✺
15.04.24	Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Charleston
02.04.24	Danielle Collins - Paula Badosa	2:0 ✺
WTA Miami
22.03.24	Paula Badosa - Aryna Sabalenka	0:2 ✺
19.03.24	Simona Halep - Paula Badosa	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 ?WLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paula Badosa
WTA Guangzhou
29.10.26	Paula Badosa - Harriet Dart	✺

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Paula Badosa