Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - 1/64-finals

Date: 27 August 2024, Tuesday

Location: Louis Armstrong Stadium (New York, NY)


	Jelena Ostapenko		Naomi Osaka

	1	2
	2.3	1.62	Watch
	2.15	1.67
	2.28	1.64	Watch
	2.33	1.66
	2.26	1.7	Watch
	2.2	1.67
	2.22	1.67	Watch
	2.28	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.04)	1.66 (1.66)

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
42.4%

Naomi Osaka
57.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.9%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Naomi Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Naomi Osaka than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Jelena Ostapenko - Naomi Osaka Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Osaka will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osaka: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 11. Osaka is ranked WTA: 95.

Ostapenko is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Osaka is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ostapenko could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Ostapenko won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Cincinnati
15.08.24	Elina Avanesyan - Jelena Ostapenko	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
09.08.24	Taylor Townsend - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
08.08.24	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
28.07.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
WTA Wimbledon
10.07.24	Jelena Ostapenko - Barbora Krejcikova	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLL
- Naomi Osaka
WTA Cincinnati
12.08.24	Ashlyn Krueger - Naomi Osaka	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Anna Blinkova	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Elise Mertens	0:2 ✺
07.08.24	Ons Jabeur - Naomi Osaka	0:2 ✺
WTA Olympic Games
27.07.24	Naomi Osaka - Angelique Kerber	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roland Garros
23.05.16	Naomi Osaka - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0

Jelena Ostapenko - Naomi Osaka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide