Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Rome, clay - 1/32-finals

Date: 8 May 2025, Thursday


	Jelena Ostapenko		Rebecca Sramkova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.36	3.15	Watch
	1.38	3.23
	1.39	2.98	Watch
	1.33	3.3
	1.37	3.1	Watch
	1.36	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↓ (1.45)	3.19 ↑ (2.75)

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Jelena Ostapenko
70.2%

Rebecca Sramkova
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.4%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelena Ostapenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Rebecca Sramkova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelena Ostapenko than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rebecca Sramkova than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	0%	27.3%

Jelena Ostapenko - Rebecca Sramkova Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Ostapenko will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Sramkova will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ostapenko: 46.4% – 99%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4.5 Games - Sramkova (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 Sets - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jelena Ostapenko will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Ostapenko (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Sramkova (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Preview

Ostapenko is ranked WTA: 18. Sramkova is ranked WTA: 41.

Ostapenko is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sramkova has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sramkova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ostapenko is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ostapenko won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelena Ostapenko
WTA Madrid
24.04.25	Anastasija Sevastova - Jelena Ostapenko	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
21.04.25	Aryna Sabalenka - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ekaterina Alexandrova - Jelena Ostapenko	0:2 ✺
19.04.25	Jelena Ostapenko - Iga Swiatek	2:1 ✺
17.04.25	Emma Navarro - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 LWWWW
- Rebecca Sramkova
WTA Roma
06.05.25	Rebecca Sramkova - McCartney Kessler	2:0 ✺
WTA Madrid
23.04.25	Maria Lourdes Carle - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
WTA Stuttgart
16.04.25	Magdalena Frech - Rebecca Sramkova	Canceled ✺
WTA Billie Jean King Cup World Group
13.04.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Bernarda Pera	0:2 ✺
11.04.25	Rebecca Sramkova - Johanne Christine Svendsen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WL?LW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Roma
13.05.24	Rebecca Sramkova - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2

Jelena Ostapenko - Rebecca Sramkova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide