Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Manama (Bahrain) - Qualification, hard - Final

Date: 10 February 2025, Monday


	Jelle Sels		Evgeny Karlovskiy

	1	2
	1.64	2.13
	1.61	2.23	Watch
	1.67	2.12	Watch
	1.64	2.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.72)	2.15 ↑ (2.02)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
56.8%

Evgeny Karlovskiy
43.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.9%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

46.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Evgeny Karlovskiy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Evgeny Karlovskiy than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 6 and 1).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Belleville won 2.

Recent matches Belleville is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Laval in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Laval could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Belleville won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 59:57 (average 3:2.9).

Including matches at home between the teams Belleville won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27:32 (average 2.7:3.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Jelle Sels - Ali Habib	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
01.02.25	Mikhail Kukushkin - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
28.01.25	Jelle Sels - Luca Nardi	0:2 ✺
07.01.25	Daniel Michalski - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
06.01.25	Jelle Sels - Clement Tabur	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLW
- Evgeny Karlovskiy
ATP Challenger
09.02.25	Ivan Liutarevich - Evgeny Karlovskiy	0:2 ✺
26.01.25	Dimitar Kuzmanov - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
23.01.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Mats Rosenkranz	1:2 ✺
21.01.25	Evgeny Karlovskiy - Vincent Marysko	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
05.01.25	Richard Berankis - Evgeny Karlovskiy	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
23.03.21	Jelle Sels - Evgeny Karlovskiy	1:2

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