Match Info

Date: 10 September 2022, Saturday


	Jelle Sels		Jozef Kovalik

	1	2
	2.5	1.5	Watch
	2.35	1.53
	2.55	1.49
	2.41	1.48
	2.58	1.53
	2.38	1.53
	2.46	1.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.13)	1.51 ↓ (1.67)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
38%

Jozef Kovalik
62%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.9%

56.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Jozef Kovalik has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jozef Kovalik's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jozef Kovalik than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jozef Kovalik, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	0%	88.4%

Jelle Sels - Jozef Kovalik Predictions

Users Predictions: Jozef Kovalik will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.79% – 97.95%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Sels in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Kovalik is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Kovalik could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Kovalik will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kovalik to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
09.09.22	Jelle Sels - Norbert Gombos	2:0 ✺
08.09.22	Jelle Sels - Giulio Zeppieri	Zeppieri G. retired ✺
07.09.22	Federico Coria - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
06.09.22	Maxime Janvier - Jelle Sels	1:2 ✺
05.09.22	Jelle Sels - Giovanni Oradini	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.4 W?WWW
- Jozef Kovalik
ATP Challenger
09.09.22	Elias Ymer - Jozef Kovalik	1:2 ✺
08.09.22	Jurij Rodionov - Jozef Kovalik	0:2 ✺
07.09.22	Ivan Gakhov - Jozef Kovalik	Gakhov I. retired ✺
05.09.22	Jozef Kovalik - Chun Hsin Tseng	2:1 ✺
ATP US Open
25.08.22	Jozef Kovalik - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 WW?WL

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