Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Date: 4 November 2024, Monday


	Jelle Sels		Nicolas Alvarez Varona

	1	2
			Watch
	1.75	1.91
	1.73	1.99	Watch
	1.81	1.95
	1.83	1.91	Watch
	1.73	2	Watch
	1.75	1.99	Watch
	1.73	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.85)	1.96 ↑ (1.85)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
52.7%

Nicolas Alvarez Varona
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Nicolas Alvarez Varona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nicolas Alvarez Varona than the current prediction. (+2%)

Jelle Sels - Nicolas Alvarez Varona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Sels is ranked ATP: 292. Alvarez Varona is ranked ATP: 387.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Sels could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sels won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Last Results with these Odds

Jelle Sels - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.93%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Jelle Sels - Markus Molder	2:0 ✺
27.10.24	Raphael Collignon - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Antwerp
13.10.24	Luca Van Assche - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
09.10.24	Jelle Sels - Pierre-Hugues Herbert	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Jelle Sels - Arthur Bouquier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLW
- Nicolas Alvarez Varona
ATP Challenger
03.11.24	Otso Martikainen - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
14.10.24	Daniel Merida Aguilar - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	2:1 ✺
13.10.24	Leonardo Mazzucchelli - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
07.10.24	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Christoph Negritu	1:2 ✺
06.10.24	Gastao Elias - Nicolas Alvarez Varona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.06.21	Nicolas Alvarez Varona - Jelle Sels	0:2

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