Match Info

Date: 7 September 2021, Tuesday


	Jelle Sels		Sergiy Stakhovsky

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.62	2.15
	1.68	2.15	Watch
	1.64	2.09
	1.73	2.13
	1.66	2.1	Watch
	1.71	2.09	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↑ (1.44)	2.14 ↓ (2.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jelle Sels
56.3%

Sergiy Stakhovsky
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.5%

35.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jelle Sels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jelle Sels's form might have worsened.

Sergiy Stakhovsky has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sergiy Stakhovsky's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jelle Sels than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jelle Sels, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sergiy Stakhovsky than the current prediction. (-12.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sergiy Stakhovsky, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.4%	0%	90.6%

Jelle Sels - Sergiy Stakhovsky Predictions

Users Predictions: 53 users predict this event. Sels will win (votes: 5 - 9.4%). Stakhovsky will win (votes: 48 - 90.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stakhovsky: 82.7% – 98.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.

Stakhovsky will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jelle Sels
ATP Challenger
29.08.21	Jelle Sels - Andrea Vavassori	Sels J. retired ✺
24.08.21	Julian Ocleppo - Jelle Sels	2:0 ✺
17.08.21	Jelle Sels - Constant Lestienne	0:2 ✺
16.08.21	Jelle Sels - Hugo Dellien	Canceled
16.07.21	Guido Andreozzi - Jelle Sels	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 ?LL?L
- Sergiy Stakhovsky
ATP US Open
24.08.21	Zane Khan - Sergiy Stakhovsky	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
21.07.21	Nick Chappell - Sergiy Stakhovsky	2:0 ✺
20.07.21	Benjamin Lock - Sergiy Stakhovsky	1:2 ✺
15.07.21	Sergiy Stakhovsky - Jason Kubler	1:2 ✺
13.07.21	Sergiy Stakhovsky - Pavel Kotov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLW

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