Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Chiasso, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 April 2025, Wednesday


	Jenny Duerst		Alice Rame

	1	2
			Watch
	2.6	1.42
	2.71	1.42
	2.85	1.39	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.66	1.43	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (1.83)	1.45 ↓ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenny Duerst
35.6%

Alice Rame
64.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenny Duerst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jenny Duerst's form might have worsened.

Alice Rame has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alice Rame's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (+16.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jenny Duerst, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alice Rame than the current prediction. (-16.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alice Rame, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jenny Duerst - Alice Rame Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Duerst is ranked WTA: 359. Rame is ranked WTA: 364.

One and the other player get a very uncertain game.

Duerst could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Duerst won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

Last Results with these Odds

Alice Rame - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
09.04.25	Silvia Ambrosio - Jenny Duerst	2:1 ✺
03.04.25	Angelina Wirges - Jenny Duerst	Duerst J. retired ✺
30.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Irina Fetecau	2:1 ✺
29.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Gaia Squarcialupi	2:0 ✺
28.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Oana Georgeta Simion	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 L?WWW
- Alice Rame
ITF Tournaments
17.04.25	Raluca Georgiana Serban - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
17.04.25	Alice Rame - Julia Avdeeva	2:0 ✺
10.04.25	Tyra Caterina Grant - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
09.04.25	Alice Rame - Kathinka Von Deichmann	2:0 ✺
27.03.25	Lilli Tagger - Alice Rame	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
27.02.20	Alice Rame - Jenny Duerst	2:0

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