Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 Alaminos 3, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 29 March 2025, Saturday


	Jenny Duerst		Gaia Squarcialupi

	1	2
	1.2	3.9
	1.15	5.05
	1.14	5
	1.15	4.7	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.16 ↓ (1.34)	4.66 ↑ (3.23)

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenny Duerst
80.1%

Gaia Squarcialupi
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70.7%

29.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71.1%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenny Duerst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jenny Duerst's performance.

Gaia Squarcialupi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gaia Squarcialupi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jenny Duerst that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gaia Squarcialupi than the current prediction. (+9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gaia Squarcialupi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jenny Duerst - Gaia Squarcialupi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Duerst is ranked WTA: 366. Squarcialupi is ranked WTA: 701.

Duerst is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Squarcialupi is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Duerst could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Duerst is a favorite.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Oana Georgeta Simion	2:1 ✺
27.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Ilinca Sagmar	2:1 ✺
26.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Olivia Gram	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Luca Udvardy	0:2 ✺
21.03.25	Jenny Duerst - Anastasiia Firman	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWLW
- Gaia Squarcialupi
ITF Tournaments
28.03.25	Adrienn Nagy - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
27.03.25	Astrid Wanja Brune Olsen - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
26.03.25	Ginevra Parentini Vallega Montebruno - Gaia Squarcialupi	0:2 ✺
19.03.25	Gaia Squarcialupi - Alexandra Zimmer	1:2 ✺
14.03.25	Laura Mair - Gaia Squarcialupi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WWWLL

Jenny Duerst - Gaia Squarcialupi: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide