Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W15 MANACOR 3 (SPAIN), HARD - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 March 2024, Friday


	Jenny Duerst		Natalia Szabanin

	1	2
	2.65	1.4
	2.7	1.4
	2.77	1.43
	2.75	1.4
	2.72	1.42	Watch
	2.65	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.71 ↓ (3.15)	1.41 ↑ (1.31)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenny Duerst
34.3%

Natalia Szabanin
65.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

71%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenny Duerst has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

Natalia Szabanin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenny Duerst than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jenny Duerst that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Natalia Szabanin than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Natalia Szabanin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

Recent matches Duerst is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Szabanin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Duerst could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Szabanin is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Szabanin to win the game is with odds 1.31.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenny Duerst
ITF Tournaments
29.02.24	Jenny Duerst - Charlotte Ruud	2:0 ✺
28.02.24	Jenny Duerst - Constanza Fernandez Rincon	2:0 ✺
21.02.24	Julie Belgraver - Jenny Duerst	2:1 ✺
16.02.24	Jenny Duerst - Julie Belgraver	0:2 ✺
15.02.24	Jenny Duerst - Iveta Dapkute	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WWLLW
- Natalia Szabanin
ITF Tournaments
29.02.24	Anastasia Iamachkine - Natalia Szabanin	0:2 ✺
28.02.24	Aryana Bartlett - Natalia Szabanin	0:2 ✺
18.02.24	Rebecca Munk Mortensen - Natalia Szabanin	2:1 ✺
17.02.24	Natalia Szabanin - Caijsa Wilda Hennemann	2:1 ✺
16.02.24	Natalia Szabanin - Isabel Skoog	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWLWW

Jenny Duerst - Natalia Szabanin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide