Match Info

ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals

Date: 28 August 2025, Thursday

Location: USTA Billie Jean King NTC (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Jenson Brooksby		Flavio Cobolli

	1	2
	2.38	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.34	1.57	Watch
	2.48	1.6
	2.29	1.62	Watch
	2.38	1.57
	2.42	1.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.37 ↓ (2.79)	1.59 ↑ (1.47)

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jenson Brooksby
40.2%

Flavio Cobolli
59.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

65.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

67.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jenson Brooksby has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jenson Brooksby's performance.

Flavio Cobolli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flavio Cobolli might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jenson Brooksby than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jenson Brooksby that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flavio Cobolli than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flavio Cobolli could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83%	2.1%	14.9%

Jenson Brooksby - Flavio Cobolli Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. Brooksby will win (votes: 39 - 84.8%). Cobolli will win (votes: 7 - 15.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brooksby: 74.4% – 95.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Jenson Brooksby will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Preview

Brooksby is ranked ATP: 92. Cobolli is ranked ATP: 26.

Brooksby is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cobolli has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Cobolli might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Brooksby won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Flavio Cobolli - the odds 1.47 are the expected chance of winning is 65.53%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jenson Brooksby
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Aleksandar Vukic	3:2 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
12.08.25	Karen Khachanov - Jenson Brooksby	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Arthur Cazaux	2:0 ✺
10.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Arthur Fils	Canceled
08.08.25	Jenson Brooksby - Alexandre Muller	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WLW?W
- Flavio Cobolli
ATP US Open
25.08.25	Francesco Passaro - Flavio Cobolli	2:3 ✺
ATP Cincinnati
09.08.25	Terence Atmane - Flavio Cobolli	2:1 ✺
ATP Toronto
03.08.25	Flavio Cobolli - Ben Shelton	1:2 ✺
01.08.25	Flavio Cobolli - Fabian Marozsan	2:1 ✺
30.07.25	Flavio Cobolli - Alexis Galarneau	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Roma
09.05.22	Jenson Brooksby - Flavio Cobolli	2:0

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