Match Info

Date: 8 March 2022, Tuesday


	Jesper De Jong		Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera

	1	2
	2	1.72	Watch
	2.1	1.65
	2.02	1.68
	2.11	1.75
	2.1	1.67	Watch
	2.07	1.72	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.5)	1.7 ↑ (1.51)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
45.1%

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
54.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.6%

62.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

69%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesper De Jong's performance.

Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (-14.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesper De Jong that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

Jesper De Jong - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 16 - 57.1%). Barrios Vera will win (votes: 12 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for De Jong: 38.8% – 75.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

De Jong is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Barrios Vera is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Barrios Vera could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Barrios Vera will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches De Jong won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ATP Challenger
22.02.22	Jesper De Jong - Jack Draper	1:2 ✺
15.02.22	Yosuke Watanuki - Jesper De Jong	2:0 ✺
ATP Rotterdam
05.02.22	Jesper De Jong - Jiri Lehecka	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
13.01.22	Jesper De Jong - Tomas Machac	0:2 ✺
12.01.22	Edward Winter - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLLW
- Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera
ATP Cordoba
30.01.22	Juan Pablo Varillas Patino-Samudio - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	2:0 ✺
29.01.22	Facundo Mena - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
ATP Australian Open
18.01.22	Taro Daniel - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	3:0 ✺
13.01.22	Filip Horansky - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
12.01.22	Thiago Augustin Tirante - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ATP Challenger
19.06.21	Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera - Jesper De Jong	0:2

Jesper De Jong - Marcelo Tomas Barrios Vera: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide