Match Info

Date: 17 November 2020, Tuesday


	Jesper De Jong		Mario Vilella Martinez

	1	2
	2.1	1.66	Watch
	2.2	1.6
	2.2	1.57
	2.37	1.6
	2.2	1.62	Watch
	2.39	1.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.25)	1.57 ↓ (1.61)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesper De Jong
41.1%

Mario Vilella Martinez
58.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

58.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5%

57.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesper De Jong has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Mario Vilella Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesper De Jong than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mario Vilella Martinez than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25.9%	0%	74.1%

Jesper De Jong - Mario Vilella Martinez Predictions

Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. De Jong will win (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Vilella Martinez will win (votes: 20 - 74.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vilella Martinez: 57.6% – 90.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Recent matches De Jong is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Vilella Martinez is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesper De Jong
ITF Tournaments
30.10.20	Jesper De Jong - Kacper Zuk	1:2 ✺
29.10.20	Tsung-Hua Yang - Jesper De Jong	0:2 ✺
27.10.20	Jesper De Jong - Jonas Forejtek	2:0 ✺
19.10.20	Jesper De Jong - Kacper Zuk	Canceled ✺
16.10.20	Jesper De Jong - Viktor Durasovic	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LWW?L
- Mario Vilella Martinez
ITF Tournaments
28.10.20	Mario Vilella Martinez - Skander Mansouri	0:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
26.10.20	Mario Vilella Martinez - Pedro Martinez Portero	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
21.10.20	Kristjan Tamm - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
ATP Challenger
17.10.20	Carlos Alcaraz Garfia - Mario Vilella Martinez	2:1 ✺
16.10.20	Steven Diez - Mario Vilella Martinez	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLLLW

Jesper De Jong - Mario Vilella Martinez: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide