Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 PITTSBURGH, PA (USA), CLAY - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 28 July 2023, Friday


	Jesse Flores		Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar

	1	2
	2.3	1.53
	2.4	1.5
	2.33	1.58
	2.25	1.57
	2.39	1.51	Watch
	2.37	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.98)	1.54 ↓ (1.75)

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesse Flores
39.6%

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
60.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

53%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5%

54.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesse Flores has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jesse Flores's form might have worsened.

Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jesse Flores than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jesse Flores, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

Flores is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Aguilar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aguilar will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Flores won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesse Flores
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	William Grant - Jesse Flores	1:2 ✺
26.07.23	Alex Bancila - Jesse Flores	0:2 ✺
20.07.23	Ignacio Monzon - Jesse Flores	2:1 ✺
19.07.23	Jesse Flores - Emmett Ward	2:0 ✺
Davis Cup Group III
24.06.23	Jesse Flores - Ricardo Rodriguez Pace	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWLWW
- Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar
ITF Tournaments
27.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nick Lagaev	2:0 ✺
25.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Henrik Wiersholm	2:0 ✺
20.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Nicholas Heng	0:2 ✺
19.07.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Jonathan Sorbo	2:0 ✺
27.06.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Pedro Vives Marcos	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
23.05.23	Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar - Jesse Flores	2:1

Jesse Flores - Juan Carlos Manuel Aguilar: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide