Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 33, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 4 September 2025, Thursday


	Jesse Flores		Toufik Sahtali

	1	2
	1.9	1.78
	1.92	1.81
	1.64	2.06	Watch
	1.91	1.79	Watch
	2.24	1.59
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.24)	1.81 ↑ (1.59)

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jesse Flores
48.4%

Toufik Sahtali
51.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

61.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jesse Flores has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jesse Flores's performance.

Toufik Sahtali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toufik Sahtali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jesse Flores than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jesse Flores that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toufik Sahtali than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toufik Sahtali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jesse Flores - Toufik Sahtali Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sahtali (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Flores is ranked ATP: 1049. Sahtali is ranked ATP: 913.

Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.

Flores may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sahtali is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the players.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jesse Flores
ITF Tournaments
03.09.25	Jesse Flores - Daniel Domingos	Domingos D. retired ✺
28.08.25	Jesse Flores - Joe Leather	Flores J. retired ✺
27.08.25	Alan Magadan - Jesse Flores	1:2 ✺
ATP Challenger
11.08.25	Martin Damm - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
06.08.25	Taha Baadi - Jesse Flores	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 ??WLL
- Toufik Sahtali
ITF Tournaments
02.09.25	Loic Namigandet Tenguere - Toufik Sahtali	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	Lui Maxted - Toufik Sahtali	2:1 ✺
28.08.25	Ivan Gretskiy - Toufik Sahtali	0:2 ✺
27.08.25	Ibrahim Snoussi - Toufik Sahtali	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Alaa Trifi - Toufik Sahtali	Canceled ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLWW?

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