Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Ningbo (China), hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday


	Diana Shnaider		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	3	1.4	Watch
	2.8	1.42
	2.9	1.4	Watch
	2.91	1.45
	2.82	1.46	Watch
	2.75	1.44
	2.84	1.43	Watch
	2.9	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.37)	1.43 ↓ (1.49)

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Diana Shnaider
33.2%

Paula Badosa
66.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.6%

61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

61.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Diana Shnaider has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Diana Shnaider's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diana Shnaider than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Diana Shnaider, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Shnaider will win (votes: 9 - 45%). Badosa will win (votes: 11 - 55%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Badosa: 33.2% – 76.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Shnaider is ranked WTA: 16. Badosa is ranked WTA: 15.

Recent matches Shnaider is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Badosa is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Shnaider could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Badosa will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Badosa to win the game is with odds 1.46.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Shnaider won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:6 (average 0.6:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Diana Shnaider
WTA Wuhan
07.10.24	Leylah Annie Fernandez - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
WTA Beijing
28.09.24	Magdalena Frech - Diana Shnaider	2:1 ✺
27.09.24	Sofia Kenin - Diana Shnaider	0:2 ✺
WTA Seoul
21.09.24	Darya Kasatkina - Diana Shnaider	2:0 ✺
21.09.24	Diana Shnaider - Marta Kostyuk	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LLWLW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Wuhan
08.10.24	Paula Badosa - Ajla Tomljanovic	Canceled ✺
WTA Beijing
05.10.24	Cori Gauff - Paula Badosa	2:1 ✺
03.10.24	Shuai Zhang - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
30.09.24	Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula	2:0 ✺
28.09.24	Paula Badosa - Rebecca Sramkova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 ?LWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Bad Homburg
27.06.24	Paula Badosa - Diana Shnaider	0:2
WTA Roma
11.05.24	Paula Badosa - Diana Shnaider	2:1
WTA Stuttgart
15.04.24	Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa	0:2
WTA Hua Hin
31.01.24	Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa	Badosa P. retired
WTA Charleston
06.04.23	Paula Badosa - Diana Shnaider	2:0

Diana Shnaider - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide