Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 2 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	HBO Max, HBO Max
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	HBO Max
Bulgaria	HBO Max
Croatia	HBO Max
Czech-republic	HBO Max
Denmark	HBO Max
Finland	HBO Max
France	HBO Max
Hungary	HBO Max
Moldova	HBO Max
Montenegro	HBO Max
Netherlands	HBO Max
North-macedonia	HBO Max
Norway	HBO Max
Poland	HBO Max
Romania	HBO Max
Serbia	HBO Max
Slovenia	HBO Max
Spain	HBO Max
Sweden	HBO Max


	Jessica Pegula		Barbora Krejcikova

	1	2
	1.36	3.2	Watch
	1.42	2.9
	1.36	3.04	Watch
	1.39	3.23
	1.39	3.00	Watch
	1.4	2.9
	1.4	3.19	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.63)	3.07 ↑ (2.36)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
68.8%

Barbora Krejcikova
31.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.1%

40.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.8%

39.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pegula's performance.

Barbora Krejcikova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barbora Krejcikova might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Pegula that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barbora Krejcikova than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barbora Krejcikova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Krejcikova will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 46.5% – 86.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Krejcikova (votes: 4 - 44.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5 Games - Pegula (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 Sets - Krejcikova (1.82) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Pegula (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Krejcikova (votes: 6 - 46.2%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 4. Krejcikova is ranked WTA: 62.

Right now, both players are showing solid form.

In this match, Pegula is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Pegula won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 1:1.3).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessica Pegula - the odds 1.63 are the expected chance of winning is 59.1%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
31.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Ann Li	2:0 ✺
29.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Victoria Azarenka	2:0 ✺
27.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Anna Blinkova	2:0 ✺
24.08.25	Jessica Pegula - Mayar Sherif	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
13.08.25	Magda Linette - Jessica Pegula	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- Barbora Krejcikova
WTA US Open
31.08.25	Barbora Krejcikova - Taylor Townsend	2:1 ✺
29.08.25	Emma Navarro - Barbora Krejcikova	1:2 ✺
27.08.25	Moyuka Uchijima - Barbora Krejcikova	0:2 ✺
25.08.25	Barbora Krejcikova - Victoria Mboko	2:0 ✺
WTA Cincinnati
14.08.25	Jasmine Paolini - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Finals
05.11.24	Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova	0:2
WTA Dubai
24.02.23	Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova	1:2
WTA Australian Open
22.01.23	Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova	2:0

Jessica Pegula - Barbora Krejcikova: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide