Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Cincinnati (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 18 August 2024, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	beIN Sports 2
Brazil	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport
France	beIN Sports France 1, beIN Sports France 3, beIN Sports MAX 9
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis
Greece	Nova Sports 6
Hungary	Arena 4
Portugal	DAZN 3
Romania	Digi Sport 4
Ukraine	Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Tennis


	Jessica Pegula		Paula Badosa

	1	2
	1.91	1.91	Watch
	1.9	1.9
	1.88	1.93	Watch
	2	1.9
	1.94	1.94	Watch
	1.85	1.95
	1.89	1.92	Watch
	1.88	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.61)	1.92 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
50.2%

Paula Badosa
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessica Pegula's form might have worsened.

Paula Badosa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paula Badosa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+11.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessica Pegula, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paula Badosa than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paula Badosa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa Predictions

Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 14 - 50%). Badosa will win (votes: 14 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pegula: 31.5% – 68.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Badosa is ranked WTA: 37.

Pegula in the latest game got a series victories and it is in a perfect shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Badosa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Pegula could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Leylah Annie Fernandez	2:1 ✺
16.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Taylor Townsend	2:0 ✺
16.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1 ✺
WTA Toronto
12.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Amanda Anisimova	2:1 ✺
11.08.24	Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWWWW
- Paula Badosa
WTA Cincinnati
17.08.24	Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
16.08.24	Paula Badosa - Yulia Putintseva	2:0 ✺
15.08.24	Anna Kalinskaya - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
14.08.24	Peyton Stearns - Paula Badosa	0:2 ✺
WTA Toronto
08.08.24	Paula Badosa - Jelena Ostapenko	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

WTA Charleston
07.04.23	Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa	2:0
WTA Miami
30.03.22	Paula Badosa - Jessica Pegula	Badosa G. P. retired

Jessica Pegula - Paula Badosa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide