Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: US Open (USA), hard - Semi-finals

Date: 5 September 2024, Thursday

Location: Arthur Ashe Stadium (New York, NY)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	ESPN 3, SporTV 3
Colombia	ESPN 2
Czech-republic	Eurosport 1
Denmark	Eurosport 1
Finland	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
France	Eurosport 1
Germany	Sky Sport Tennis, Sky Sport Top event
Hungary	Eurosport 1
Italy	Eurosport 1
Netherlands	Eurosport 1
Norway	Eurosport 1
Poland	Eurosport 1
Portugal	Eurosport 1
Romania	Eurosport 1
Spain	Eurosport 1
Sweden	Discovery+, Eurosport 1
Switzerland	RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF 2, SRF 2
Turkey	Eurosport 1
United-kingdom	Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports+
Usa	ESPN USA
World	Eurosport 1


	Jessica Pegula		Karolina Muchova

	1	2
	1.57	2.38	Watch
	1.65	2.25
	1.6	2.36
	1.68	2.29
	1.69	2.28	Watch
	1.62	2.3
	1.66	2.37	Watch
	1.6	2.36
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.61)	2.32 ↓ (2.34)

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pegula
58.7%

Karolina Muchova
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.3%

40.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

38.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pegula has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Karolina Muchova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pegula than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karolina Muchova than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova Predictions

Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Pegula will win (votes: 14 - 40%). Muchova will win (votes: 21 - 60%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Muchova: 43.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pegula is ranked WTA: 6. Muchova is ranked WTA: 52.

During last matches two players got success in matches and won.

Pegula will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Pegula to win the game is with odds 1.62.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Pegula won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pegula
WTA US Open
04.09.24	Iga Swiatek - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Diana Shnaider - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
31.08.24	Jessica Bouzas Maneiro - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
29.08.24	Sofia Kenin - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Shelby Rogers - Jessica Pegula	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WWWWW
- Karolina Muchova
WTA US Open
04.09.24	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
02.09.24	Karolina Muchova - Jasmine Paolini	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Anastasia Potapova	2:0 ✺
29.08.24	Naomi Osaka - Karolina Muchova	0:2 ✺
27.08.24	Karolina Muchova - Katie Volynets	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Cincinnati
16.08.24	Jessica Pegula - Karolina Muchova	2:1
WTA Dubai
23.02.23	Karolina Muchova - Jessica Pegula	Pegula J. walkover

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