Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W25 SANTA MARGHERITA DI PULA 12 (ITALY), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 27 September 2023, Wednesday


	Jessica Pieri		Katharina Hobgarski

	1	2
	2.8	1.36
	2.9	1.36
	2.92	1.37
	2.75	1.4
	2.9	1.36	Watch
	2.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.85 ↑ (2.65)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pieri
32.5%

Katharina Hobgarski
67.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

67.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Katharina Hobgarski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Katharina Hobgarski than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

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Preview

Pieri is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hobgarski is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hobgarski will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Hobgarski to win the game is with odds 1.42.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Pieri won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Deborah Chiesa - Jessica Pieri	2:1 ✺
19.09.23	Jessica Pieri - Seone Mendez	2:0 ✺
06.09.23	Amandine Hesse - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
30.08.23	Alina Granwehr - Jessica Pieri	2:1 ✺
17.08.23	Sofia Costoulas - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWLLL
- Katharina Hobgarski
ITF Tournaments
24.09.23	Federica Bilardo - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
23.09.23	Katharina Hobgarski - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
22.09.23	Diletta Cherubini - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
21.09.23	Martina Spigarelli - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
19.09.23	Tatiana Pieri - Katharina Hobgarski	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.09.22	Katharina Hobgarski - Jessica Pieri	Hobgarski K. retired

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