Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Caserta, clay - 1/16-finals

Date: 3 June 2026, Wednesday


	Deborah Chiesa		Jessica Pieri

	1	2
			Watch
	1.53	2.34
	1.45	2.8
	1.44	2.6	Watch
	1.4	2.63
	1.45	2.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.73)	2.59 ↑ (2)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deborah Chiesa
64%

Jessica Pieri
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deborah Chiesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Deborah Chiesa's performance.

Jessica Pieri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessica Pieri might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deborah Chiesa than the current prediction. (-15.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Deborah Chiesa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (+15.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessica Pieri could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Deborah Chiesa - Jessica Pieri Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Chiesa is ranked WTA: 453. Pieri is ranked WTA: 258.

Chiesa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Pieri has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Chiesa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deborah Chiesa
ATP Challenger
12.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Maria Camila Osorio Serrano	0:2 ✺
11.05.26	Gabriela Ce - Deborah Chiesa	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
03.05.26	Georgia Pedone - Deborah Chiesa	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Elena Ruxandra Bertea	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Deborah Chiesa - Tiphanie Lemaitre	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LWLWW
- Jessica Pieri
ATP Challenger
05.05.26	Jessica Pieri - Han Shi	0:2 ✺
27.04.26	Jessica Pieri - Sijia Wei	0:2 ✺
WTA Rouen
12.04.26	Alina Charaeva - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Oceane Babel - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
09.04.26	Jessica Pieri - Alicia Dudeney	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
21.09.23	Deborah Chiesa - Jessica Pieri	2:1
WTA Lugano
08.04.18	Jessica Pieri - Deborah Chiesa	2:1

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