Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Santa Margherita di Pula, clay - 1/8-finals

Date: 3 April 2025, Thursday


	Jessica Pieri		Samira De Stefano

	1	2
	1.5	2.35
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.53	2.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.83)	2.4 ↑ (1.83)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessica Pieri
61.3%

Samira De Stefano
38.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

52.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessica Pieri has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Jessica Pieri's performance.

Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samira De Stefano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessica Pieri than the current prediction. (-14%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessica Pieri that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samira De Stefano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jessica Pieri - Samira De Stefano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Pieri is ranked WTA: 425. De Stefano is ranked WTA: 457.

Recent matches Pieri is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

De Stefano in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Pieri could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Last Results with these Odds

Samira De Stefano - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 50%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessica Pieri
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Tatiana Pieri - Jessica Pieri	Pieri T. retired ✺
21.03.25	Federica Di Sarra - Jessica Pieri	2:0 ✺
20.03.25	Francesca Curmi - Jessica Pieri	1:2 ✺
18.03.25	Noemi La Cagnina - Jessica Pieri	0:2 ✺
12.03.25	Jessica Pieri - Sofia Costoulas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 ?LWWL
- Samira De Stefano
ITF Tournaments
02.04.25	Katarina Stresnakova - Samira De Stefano	0:2 ✺
23.03.25	Samira De Stefano - Hiromi Abe	2:0 ✺
22.03.25	Federica Di Sarra - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
20.03.25	Samira De Stefano - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
18.03.25	Katharina Hobgarski - Samira De Stefano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

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