Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Saint-Gaudens, clay - Semi-finals

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday


	Jessika Ponchet		Andrea Lazaro Garcia

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.62
			Watch
	2.24	1.57	Watch
	2.15	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.16 ↓ (2.24)	1.6 ↑ (1.57)

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
42.6%

Andrea Lazaro Garcia
57.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

60.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Andrea Lazaro Garcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Andrea Lazaro Garcia than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Jessika Ponchet - Andrea Lazaro Garcia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 180. Lazaro Garcia is ranked WTA: 151.

Both players have been playing unpredictably.

Lazaro Garcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Lazaro Garcia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ponchet won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.21%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Andrea Lazaro Garcia - the odds 1.57 are the expected chance of winning is 58.79%, but this team recently wins 65% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Maja Chwalinska - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
07.05.26	Erika Andreeva - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
06.05.26	Clara Burel - Jessika Ponchet	Burel C. Retired ✺
ATP Challenger
02.05.26	Jessika Ponchet - Moyuka Uchijima	0:2 ✺
01.05.26	Jessika Ponchet - Viktorija Golubic	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 WW?LW
- Andrea Lazaro Garcia
ITF Tournaments
08.05.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Teodora Kostovic	2:1 ✺
07.05.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Kajsa Rinaldo Persson	2:0 ✺
06.05.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Sapfo Sakellaridi	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
27.04.26	Beatriz Haddad Maia - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:0 ✺
21.04.26	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Mona Barthel	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
07.05.25	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Jessika Ponchet	0:2
12.05.23	Jessika Ponchet - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	2:1
ATP Challenger
05.07.22	Andrea Lazaro Garcia - Jessika Ponchet	1:2
WTA Strasbourg
23.05.21	Jessika Ponchet - Andrea Lazaro Garcia	1:2

Jessika Ponchet - Andrea Lazaro Garcia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide