Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W75 Manama, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday


	Jessika Ponchet		Carol Young Suh Lee

	1	2
			Watch
	2.1	1.65	Watch
	2.2	1.6	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.23	1.58	Watch
	2.25	1.54
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (1.93)	1.59 ↓ (1.77)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
41.9%

Carol Young Suh Lee
58.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.8%

52.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Jessika Ponchet's form might have worsened.

Carol Young Suh Lee has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Carol Young Suh Lee's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Jessika Ponchet, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carol Young Suh Lee than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Carol Young Suh Lee, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Jessika Ponchet - Carol Young Suh Lee Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 166. Lee is ranked WTA: 210.

Recent performances by Ponchet have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Lee is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Jessika Ponchet - Vittoria Paganetti	2:0 ✺
20.01.26	Jessika Ponchet - Briana Szabo	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
12.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.12.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WWLLL
- Carol Young Suh Lee
ITF Tournaments
22.01.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Maria Timofeeva	Timofeeva M. retired ✺
20.01.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Chloe Paquet	2:0 ✺
WTA Australian Open
14.01.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Linda Fruhvirtova	1:2 ✺
13.01.26	Carol Young Suh Lee - Elena Micic	2:0 ✺
12.01.26	Hanne Van De Winkel - Carol Young Suh Lee	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 ?WLWW

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