Match Info

WTA - SINGLES: Australian Open - Qualification, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 12 January 2026, Monday

Location: Melbourne Park (Melbourne)


	Tamara Zidansek		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.5	2.5	Watch
	1.49	2.45
	1.52	2.47	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.53	2.54	Watch
	1.5	2.45
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.57)	2.44 ↑ (2.25)

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tamara Zidansek
61.7%

Jessika Ponchet
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.9%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

49%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tamara Zidansek has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tamara Zidansek than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tamara Zidansek that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Tamara Zidansek - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Zidansek (votes: 2 - 50%). Ponchet (votes: 2 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tamara Zidansek will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Zidansek is ranked WTA: 156. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 164.

Zidansek is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Ponchet has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Zidansek may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Zidansek is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tamara Zidansek
ATP Challenger
07.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Joanna Garland	0:2 ✺
06.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Lanlana Tararudee	2:1 ✺
05.01.26	Lucia Bronzetti - Tamara Zidansek	1:2 ✺
04.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Miriam Bianca Bulgaru	2:0 ✺
03.01.26	Tamara Zidansek - Sada Nahimana	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWWWW
- Jessika Ponchet
WTA Auckland
02.01.26	Yulia Starodubtseva - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
10.12.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
02.12.25	Jessika Ponchet - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Lucie Havlickova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Tamara Zidansek - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide