Match Info

CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Limoges, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 10 December 2025, Wednesday


	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.55	2.31	Watch
	1.66	2.25
	1.53	2.37	Watch
	1.67	2.1
	1.58	2.42	Watch
	1.62	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (2.19)	2.27 ↑ (1.62)

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
58.7%

Jessika Ponchet
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

59.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah's performance.

Jessika Ponchet has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Jessika Ponchet might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah than the current prediction. (-17.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (+17.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Jessika Ponchet could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90%	0%	10%

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 21 Games - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1 Games - Rakotomanga Rajaonah (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Rakotomanga Rajaonah (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Rakotomanga Rajaonah is ranked WTA: 123. Ponchet is ranked WTA: 167.

Rakotomanga Rajaonah is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Ponchet has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Rakotomanga Rajaonah may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Ponchet is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Rakotomanga Rajaonah won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Jessika Ponchet - the odds 1.62 are the expected chance of winning is 57.56%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
ATP Challenger
01.12.25	Linda Klimovicova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:1 ✺
WTA Jiujiang
27.10.25	Ella Seidel - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
WTA Guangzhou
23.10.25	Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Katie Volynets	0:2 ✺
21.10.25	Polina Kudermetova - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	1:2 ✺
20.10.25	Lulu Sun - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWL
- Jessika Ponchet
ATP Challenger
02.12.25	Jessika Ponchet - Mona Barthel	0:2 ✺
ITF Tournaments
26.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Anastasiya Soboleva	0:2 ✺
22.11.25	Lucie Havlickova - Jessika Ponchet	2:0 ✺
21.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Kira Pavlova	2:0 ✺
20.11.25	Jessika Ponchet - Julie Pastikova	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

WTA Rouen
13.04.25	Jessika Ponchet - Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah	0:2

Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah - Jessika Ponchet: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide