Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, hard - Quarter-finals

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cherbourg-en-Cotentin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Jessika Ponchet		Manon Leonard

	1	2
			Watch
	1.44	2.54
	1.5	2.4
	1.43	2.58	Watch
	1.42	2.7
	1.43	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.51)	2.56 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 21.00

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jessika Ponchet
63.9%

Manon Leonard
36.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

41.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Manon Leonard has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jessika Ponchet that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manon Leonard than the current prediction. (+5.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manon Leonard could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Jessika Ponchet - Manon Leonard Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Ponchet is ranked WTA: 310., and Leonard is ranked WTA: 410..

Both players are currently displaying solid and consistent form.

Leonard may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ponchet holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ponchet has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
21.10.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Manon Leonard - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Mayuka Aikawa - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Amelia Rajecki - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWLWW
- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
22.10.26	Manon Leonard - Sada Nahimana	2:0 ✺
21.10.26	Manon Leonard - Salma Djoubri	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Manon Leonard - Alicia Dudeney	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Manon Leonard - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Jodie Anna Burrage - Manon Leonard	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
16.10.26	Manon Leonard - Jessika Ponchet	2:1
07.02.23	Jessika Ponchet - Manon Leonard	2:0

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manon Leonard
ITF Tournaments
29.10.26	Veronika Podrez - Manon Leonard	✺
28.10.26	Manon Leonard - Amandine Hesse	✺

Jessika Ponchet - Manon Leonard