Match Info

ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W50 Cherbourg-en-Cotentin, hard - 1/8-finals

Date: 22 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cherbourg-en-Cotentin 🌤️ ... 🔵 Hard


	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva		Jessika Ponchet

	1	2
			Watch
	2.30	1.53
	2.23	1.58
	2.23	1.56	Watch
	2.35	1.54
	2.29	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.28 ↑ (2.2)	1.55 ↓ (1.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 20.50

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
40.4%

Jessika Ponchet
59.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.5%

58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Jessika Ponchet has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jessika Ponchet than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jessika Ponchet Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Jimenez Kasintseva is ranked WTA: 211., and Ponchet is ranked WTA: 310..

In recent outings, Jimenez Kasintseva has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Ponchet shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Jimenez Kasintseva could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both players have fairly balanced chances of victory.

Our forecast points to a victory for Ponchet in today's match, at odds of 1.7.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Jimenez Kasintseva has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - the odds 2.2 are the expected chance of winning is 41.49%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Oceane Babel	2:0 ✺
ATP Challenger
22.09.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Naiktha Bains	Jimenez Kasintseva V. Retired ✺
17.09.26	Francisca Jorge - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	2:1 ✺
15.09.26	Katherine Sebov - Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva	0:2 ✺
WTA US Open
24.08.26	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Francisca Jorge	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 W?LWL
- Jessika Ponchet
ITF Tournaments
21.10.26	Elena Ruxandra Bertea - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
16.10.26	Manon Leonard - Jessika Ponchet	2:1 ✺
15.10.26	Mayuka Aikawa - Jessika Ponchet	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	Amelia Rajecki - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
13.10.26	Hollie Smart - Jessika Ponchet	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
20.07.24	Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jessika Ponchet	2:0

Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva - Jessika Ponchet