Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Wuning, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Jie Cui		August Holmgren

	1	2
	2.21	1.69
	2.2	1.59	Watch
	2.25	1.57
	2.13	1.64	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↓ (2.3)	1.62 ↑ (1.52)

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Jie Cui
42.5%

August Holmgren
57.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

60.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

65.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Jie Cui has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

August Holmgren has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jie Cui than the current prediction. (-8.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Jie Cui that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for August Holmgren than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that August Holmgren could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Jie Cui - August Holmgren Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Cui will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Holmgren will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Cui is ranked ATP: 398. Holmgren is ranked ATP: 190.

Cui is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Holmgren has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Cui may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Holmgren could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the players have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Jie Cui
ATP Challenger
24.03.26	Yuta Shimizu - Jie Cui	2:1 ✺
22.03.26	Jie Cui - Alec Deckers	2:0 ✺
21.03.26	Jie Cui - Yuki Mochizuki	2:0 ✺
ITF Tournaments
14.03.26	Jie Cui - Andre Ilagan	2:1 ✺
12.03.26	Jie Cui - Maxim Zhukov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- August Holmgren
ATP Challenger
05.04.26	August Holmgren - Mitsuki Wei Kang Leong	2:0 ✺
30.03.26	August Holmgren - Yuto Oki	1:2 ✺
24.03.26	Soon Woo Kwon - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
23.03.26	Renta Tokuda - August Holmgren	1:2 ✺
12.03.26	Remy Bertola - August Holmgren	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLLWL

Jie Cui - August Holmgren: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide