Match Info

ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Setubal, hard - 1/16-finals

Date: 17 September 2025, Wednesday


	Joao Graca		Diogo Marques

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	2.09	1.64	Watch
	2.14	1.64	Watch
	2.19	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (2.09)	1.63 ↓ (1.69)

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Joao Graca
43.3%

Diogo Marques
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.7%

55.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5%

55.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Graca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Diogo Marques has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Graca than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diogo Marques than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

Joao Graca - Diogo Marques Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

#ad

Preview

Graca is ranked ATP: 1497. Marques is ranked ATP: 1032.

Graca has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Marques is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Graca may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Graca won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Graca
ITF Tournaments
10.09.25	Ha Minh Duc Vu - Joao Graca	1:2 ✺
02.09.25	Joao Graca - Alexander Chang	Graca J. retired ✺
20.08.25	Tiago Cacao - Joao Graca	2:1 ✺
12.08.25	Joao Graca - Tristan McCormick	0:2 ✺
23.07.25	Alejandro Moro Canas - Joao Graca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 W?LLL
- Diogo Marques
ITF Tournaments
09.09.25	Manas Manoj Dhamne - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
04.09.25	Diogo Marques - Cesar Bouchelaghem	0:2 ✺
02.09.25	Chirag Duhan - Diogo Marques	0:2 ✺
20.08.25	Tristan McCormick - Diogo Marques	2:1 ✺
14.08.25	Daniel Milavsky - Diogo Marques	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

ITF Tournaments
19.02.25	Joao Graca - Diogo Marques	2:0

Joao Graca - Diogo Marques: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide