Match Info

CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: PUNTA DEL ESTE (URUGUAY) - QUALIFICATION, CLAY - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 21 January 2024, Sunday


	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva		Felix Gill

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.88	1.8
	1.98	1.77
	1.83	1.83
	2.04	1.72
	1.88	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.85)	1.8 ↓ (1.86)

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
48.5%

Felix Gill
51.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.2%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

49.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Felix Gill has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Felix Gill than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10%	0%	90%

Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Felix Gill Predictions

Users Predictions: Felix Gill will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

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Preview

Two players are playing changeable.

Reis Da Silva could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.

Recently, the players did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
ATP Challenger
16.01.24	Liam Draxl - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:1 ✺
13.01.24	Gonzalo Bueno - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	2:0 ✺
12.01.24	Mateus Alves - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
11.01.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva	0:2 ✺
09.01.24	Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva - Edoardo Lavagno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLWWW
- Felix Gill
ATP Challenger
18.01.24	Santiago Fa Rodriguez Taverna - Felix Gill	2:1 ✺
17.01.24	Felix Gill - Alvaro Guillen Meza	2:0 ✺
15.01.24	Pedro Sakamoto - Felix Gill	0:2 ✺
14.01.24	Svyatoslav Gulin - Felix Gill	1:2 ✺
08.01.24	Felix Gill - Joao Fonseca	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWL

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